14 October 2024
When North Individuals go south for the winter they do it to flee the chilly. When boreal finches depart Canada in autumn it’s not about chilly, it’s about meals.
Winter finches are chilly hardy and will keep up north all yr however when seed cones and fruit are in brief provide they fly south to seek out meals. Yearly the Finch Community examines finch meals crops throughout Canada and predicts southward motion by species. Their 2024-25 Winter Finch Forecast got here out in late September, summarized beneath.
This winter we’ll NOT see these species.
- Pine grosbeaks (By no means come to southwestern PA anyway.)
- Redpolls
- White-winged crossbills
- Pink crossbills
- Redpolls (It seems like a really very long time since redpolls got here to PA.)
- Bohemian waxwings (By no means come to southwestern PA anyway.)
However we may even see …
Purple finch (Haemorhous purpureus)

This yr, the bulk ought to depart Canada with a possible reasonable flight to the Nice Plains and southern United States. … At feeders, they like black oil sunflower seeds.
— 2024-25 Winter Finch Forecast
Pine siskin (Spinus pinus)

Areas from Manitoba eastward affected by Spruce Budworm infestations have a poor cone crop. Siskins that bred in these areas shall be on the transfer. Whereas band recoveries present siskins will transfer straight throughout North America from coast to coast, there needs to be some small motion south within the japanese half of the US this fall seeking meals.
— 2024-25 Winter Finch Forecast
Night grosbeak (Coccothraustes vespertinus)

Spruce budworms brought about issues with the cone crop this summer season however there have been plenty of berries. Nevertheless, the berries gone now so…
Night Grosbeaks ought to go to areas from the Maritime provinces south in the direction of Pennsylvania. Areas even additional south to the mid-Atlantic states may even see grosbeaks this winter.
— 2024-25 Winter Finch Forecast
These species are usually not finches, however are a part of the prediction.
Pink-breasted nuthatch (Sitta canadensis)

Due to patchy balsam fir cones, there needs to be a reasonable to robust flight of red-breasted nuthatches into the U.S.
Blue jay (Cyanocitta cristata)

In japanese North America westward to Manitoba the deciduous tree crop (they love acorns on oaks) seems beneath common with scattered areas of common crops, so count on a reasonable to robust flight this fall.
I’ve already seen plenty of blue jays passing by!